I like this video. Less because of the message toward the end about the importance of ensuring western countries continue to train adaptable workforces in an increasingly flat world. More because of how it illustrates the speed and unpredictability of change. In hindsight it might seem obvious that this is how the world should end up – contingency matters in the real world after all. But in these contingent, historical, systems how do we generate a model for the future that we can trust with any useful degree of confidence?